时间：2024-02-11|浏览：273
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探索我们的 Avalanche 价格预测分析，我们试图确定代币在 2024 年可能采取的轨迹。
Avalanche (AVAX) 目前在市值方面排名第 10，最近经历了大幅的市值波动。 该代币于 2021 年 11 月 21 日达到令人印象深刻的历史新高 146.22 美元，但截至撰写本文时，其价值已降至约 34 美元，较峰值下跌约 76.6%。
Avalanche 30 天价格图表 | 来源：CoinGecko
这种下跌引发了人们对 AVAX 代币未来潜力和稳定性的一系列猜测。 我们的最新分析深入研究了 2024 年及以后的全面 Avalanche 价格预测，评估这种代币是否能够重拾光彩并再次提升估值。
雪崩：历史一瞥
检查 AVAX 自 2020 年 9 月上市以来的价格轨迹（最初交易价格接近 5 美元），发现了一系列的波峰和波谷。
2021 年初的牛市使其价值在当年 2 月突破 50 美元，但这种势头是短暂的。 尽管如此，随后的反弹使该代币在 11 月 21 日达到历史新高 146.22 美元，年底收于 109.27 美元。
接下来的一年对于 AVAX 来说是动荡的，该代币受到市场崩盘的困扰，收于 10.90 美元，表明年度跌幅超过 90%。
2023 年的轨迹相对停滞，直到年底的反弹使 AVAX 的价值飙升了 250% 以上，这一飙升使其估值达到 2022 年 5 月以来的最高水平。平台上质押奖励和交易量的增加推动了这一上涨。
然而，尽管取得了这些收益，但 AVAX 的价格在 2023 年 12 月下旬出现了下降，包括来自 Artemis 的数据在内的一些分析表明，这与 Avalanche C 链的使用量减少有关。
负责 Avalanche 开发的组织 Ava Labs 也宣布裁员 12%，创始人 Emin Gün Sirer 表示，旨在战略性地重新分配资源，并在加密货币熊持续面临的挑战中加强生态系统的发展市场。
今天，我们与 Ava Labs 的一些团队成员分道扬镳。 我们不再是一个 12 人的初创公司，但我们努力捕捉一个小而灵活的团队的速度和能量。这次人员减少影响了 Ava Labs 的 12%，并使我们能够重新分配资源，以加倍投入……
— Emin Gün Sirer (@el33th4xor) 2023 年 11 月 7 日
雪崩生态系统事件
以下是 Avalanche 生态系统中可能影响 2024 年 AVAX 价格的一些关键事件和发展。
杜兰戈升级
The eagerly awaited Durango upgrade, aimed at bolstering inter-chain transactions and scalability, is provisionally set to go live on Avalanche’s Fuji Testnet at 11 a.m. ET on Feb. 13. Many within the space feel this strategic enhancement could be a game-changer for the AVAX community.
Durango: Avalanche Warp Messaging Comes to the EVM The pre-release code has been released for Durango, a proposed upgrade to the Avalanche Network set to activate on Fuji Testnet on February 13th, 2024 at 11am ET.Durango brings Avalanche Warp Messaging to the C-Chain,… https://t.co/v4ktD0NeSA
— Avalanche (@avax) February 1, 2024
$345 million AVAX token unlock
A significant release of 9.5 million AVAX tokens, currently valued at close to $320 million, is slated for Feb. 22. These tokens are earmarked for strategic partners and team members, with a portion designated for airdrops to promote a balance between long-term commitment and potential short-term market movements.
This looming token unlock could mirror a previous release from November 23, which saw a subsequent 9.85% dip in the price of AVAX within four days. If historical patterns hold true, the price of AVAX could face a comparable downtrend post-unlock.
Avalanche Warp Messaging
The rollout of Avalanche Warp Messaging (AWM) is projected to significantly enhance on-chain and cross-chain communications, contributing to a more cohesive and robust network infrastructure.
This innovation is expected to optimize protocol interoperability on the Avalanche platform, ultimately benefiting users.
Vryx scalability solution
Avalanche’s recent announcement of its scaling solution named Vryx has also stirred considerable interest from the crypto community. This technology aims to revolutionize the Avalanche network’s capacity, claiming to handle 100,000 transactions per second (TPS).
Ava Labs revealed the Vryx scalability solution in a detailed research paper, and expectations are high for its pilot on the inaugural HyperSDK testnet, slated for release midway through Q2 2024.
The market’s response to this announcement has so far been notably positive, with AVAX’s value elevating from $32.3 to $36.32 in just one day—an uplift of 12.55%.
The brief uptrend also spurred an upsurge in trading volume, escalating by 39.79% to reach $735 million on the day following the Vryx announcement.
You might also like: Ava Labs outlines solution to push Avalanche to 100k TPS
Avalanche 2024 prediction
Sentiment within the crypto market is a powerful force that influences price trajectories. AVAX is undoubtedly subject to these market winds, with various predictions informed by past trends and technical examinations painting a diverse range of futures for the coin.
For instance, short-term Avalanche crypto price predictions from CoinCodex propose a subtle rise to $29.96, eventually reaching up to $32.55 by late February, with a roughly balanced technical AVAX outlook.
For 2024, Avalanche projections vary from CaptainAltCoin’s conservative estimate of $34.90 in December to DigitalCoinPrice’s bullish prediction of $63.63.
Wallet Investor takes a conservative stance, predicting no long-term rise and setting the year-end 2024 price forecast at $36.87, suggesting that investments today may depreciate. Conversely, Digital Coin Price’s forecast is slightly more optimistic, with its AVAX price prediction hitting a high of $36.01 and not falling below $13.95 by the end of the year.
GOV Capital shares a more positive outlook, speculating that AVAX’s price could escalate to $66 within a year.
Price Prediction and Tech News Leader indicate a generally bullish sentiment for 2024, projecting average prices around $59.27 and $58.94, respectively, with potential peaks of up to $70.17.
Trading Education goes even further, casting an ambitious Avalanche price forecast starting at $123 at the outset of 2024 and soaring as high as $327 later in the year.
Avalanche price: a long-term view
Investors and industry experts are eagerly eyeing the future value of the Avalanche coin beyond 2024, looking ahead to 2025 and even 2030. This analysis explores Avalanche’s potential for long-term growth, considering its ability to adapt in a competitive digital currency landscape where innovation and regulatory compliance are crucial.
Analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic stance, with the Avalanche price prediction for 2025 ranging from $59.29 to $71.67 based on current market trends and technological advancements.
Coming to longer-term prospects, the Avalanche price prediction for 2030 is more varied: PricePrediction.net envisions a bullish future with a potential price point of $416.66, whereas DigitalCoinPrice presents a more conservative average figure of $222.56. On the other hand, CaptainAltCoin’s Avalanche expectations sit at a cautious $148.23.
However, all these Avalanche coin price predictions come with the caveat that the crypto market is notoriously unpredictable, with prices susceptible to wide swings based on many factors, from investor sentiment to regulatory changes.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Is Avalanche a good investment?
As with any investment, potential rewards come with risks. Avalanche boasts a unique consensus mechanism and has seen growing adoption in the defi space. However, investors should consider market trends, conduct thorough research, and evaluate their risk tolerance before investing.
Will the price of Avalanche go up or down?
Cryptocurrency markets are notoriously volatile, and prices can fluctuate widely based on various factors. While Avalanche may have a promising technology and community, its price could still go either way.
Should I invest in Avalanche?
该决定取决于您的个人财务目标和投资策略。 在投资之前评估 Avalanche 的技术、团队和市场地位以及您自己的财务状况非常重要。
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